fort monroe

Air and Missile Threat Response

to

US Target Profiles

0=5sp

THREAT AIR & MISSILE TARGETING

FIRS

Blue

Strate

gy

Forward Deployed
Heavy Forces
Rapid Reinforcement
Propositioned Stocks
Nuclear Deterrence

RR@E5lftrlsence

Entry Operations
Buildup of Capability
Air/Missile Campaign
Ground/Air Campaign
Transition

Force Projection,
Dominant Maneuvei
Precision Engagement
Focused Logistics
Full Dimensional
Protection

■

Blue

Target

Profile

Fixed Targets
Massed Formati
Logistical Sites
Centralized C2
Terrestrial Comn

* ■ ■ k

SPODs

Homeland

H

1980

Cold War

A

I

R

M

■

I

s

s

■

i

I

e

Forward (Bases (Air, Land and
Sea)

Logistics Stockpiles
Secure LOCs
Long haul C2
Technical ISR

Public Support
Coalitions and

J S

Alliances

Will to fight

Post Cold War

Kosovo

*3

W2

Red

Strate

gy

Red

Capabilit

Counter US & NATO
AIR Operation
Overwhelm Defenses
Mutual Destruction

Fighters
Bombers
Missiles
etc

Regional Dominance

Threaten Extra-regional

involvement

Force Preservation

Leveraqe technoloav

Missiles

Multiple Rocket

Launchers

Unmanned Aerial

Vehicles

Land Attack Cruise
Missiles

Fixed Wing Aircraft

0~^' N air AND MISSILE THREAT (U)

FIRST TO

CHANGING THREAT

Low Cost
High Payoff

A

3

igh

3 2

w ft

Low

TODAY 2000 201!>

$

E

Q

u

A

L

C

O

s

T

$

HOW IT'S CHANGING

■ Applying Lessons Learn m

Adoptive and Adaptiv^^^^^

Emerging Capa^iiit^^K^merging Stra

GIVEN $70M f ANY ADVERSARY COULD BUY...

EVOLUTION CHARACTERIZED BY PROLIFERATION
OF LOW COST, UNMANNED WEAPONS

MRL PROLIFERATION

FIRST TO

The Poor Man's

TBM

MRLs Provide Capability To Deliver Long Range Precision Munitions
wfthxmt TBMs

LASER GUIDED PROJECTILES PROLIFERATING RAPIDLY

FOUR NEW SENSOR FUZED MUNITIONS IN PRODUCTIOI'

COURSE CORRECTED MUNITIONS COMMON

TERMINALLY HOMING MUNITIONS BEING TESTED

Strategies i

Mobility I

Massed Effects I

Lethality.. CML Capability

Sanctuary Operation |

130

120

110

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Asia Africa-ME FSU Europe Total

■ Production □ Near Term □ Midterm ■ Far Term

UAV TRENDS

FIRST TO

Attack UAV

Reconnaissance UAV

• PASSIVE SENSORS

• IR

• RF SEEKERS

• ACOUSTIC

• SMALL WARHEADS

TARGETS

• AIR DEFENSE RADARS

• ARMOR

Electronic Warfare UAV

HE

FRAG

- POSSIBLE CHEMICAL

- POSSIBLE BIOLOGICAL

Vi

ly

40 + countries developing/using U/
Difficult to detect , track, and destn
UAVs are proven force multipliers

Strategies
Reduce Air Force Requireme
Near Real Time Intelligence
Degrade Digitized Battlefield
Preserve Force

Dispensing Jammer/EMP Burst

Dedicated Com ms Jammer

‘LAND ATTACK CRUISE MISSILE TRENDS

FIRST TO

• SMALLER SIZE

• INCREASED RANGE

• LOWER ALTITUDE FLIGHT

• IMPROVED ACCURACY

• FUTURE USE OF SMART
SUBMUNITIONS

• POSSIBLE INCORPORATION
OF COUNTERMEASURES

• Serious theater-level threat possible
before 2005

- At least 11 countries now
developing LACMs

- Majority of systems are subsonic

- Simple LACMs could emerge
quickly (Maybe Not)

- Anti-ship cruise missile (ASCM)
and UAV conversion

CMS CAN STRIKE TARGETS ACROSS TH
THEATER OF OPERATIONS

Strategies

Long Range Attack
Deny Theater Basing
Reduce Air Force Requirem|
Precision Attack
Low Cost

AIRCRAFT TRENDS

FIRST TO

• lfaemas®d Uaa

Of PGMs/Crulse Missiles

• Jncraaaad Stand-off
Range

• Reduced Radar Cross
Section

• Increased Aircraft
Survivability

• Increased Multi-role
Variants

Strategies

Dominance
Potential Air Threat
Survivability vs.. Atta

AIRCRAFT CAN STILL REPRESENT A LETHAL THREAT.

HELICOPTER TRENDS

• Increased Stand-off
Range

• Improved Accuracy

• Better Ulghi & Adverse
Weath er Capability

• Improved Aircraft
Survivability Systems

• Improved IR Signature
Reduction Technology

Strategies

Reconnaissance
Limited Attack w/ Conditions

[tack Helicopters Are A Dangerous Threat To T

Maneuver Force

QUESTIONS?